Sunday, June 9, 2013
10/06/2013 stocks news
TRACK ME
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The rupee fell against the dollar for a second straight day this week, due to dollar demand by oil importers.
The
dollar gained against other Asian currencies amid speculation that the
US Federal Reserve would trim its bond purchases, known as quantitative
easing, sooner than expected.
The
rupee had opened at Rs 54.98 against the dollar today and during
intra-day trades, it touched a high of Rs 54.95 before closing at a
near-six month low at Rs 55.42. The rupee had ended at Rs 55.11
yesterday.
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With
multiple investment banks signposting the end of the commodity
supercycle, a World Bank director has warned developing countries that
have benefited from the surge to protect themselves against a price
crash.
Marcelo
Giugale, the World Bank's director of economic policy and poverty
reduction programs for Africa, told that states which have gained from
the commodity boom should prepare for a slump.
"We
don't want another wasted opportunity," he said. "This time around,
things should be done differently. The material bonanza has the
potential to become a human bonanza – whereby the standard of living for
many people across these developing countries can be raised."
The
high prices of commodities, such as industrial metals and oil, have
boosted the revenues of countries rich in these resources. But
notoriously volatile commodity markets have had catastrophic consequence
for countries in the past. The so-called Commodity Crisis of the 1980s
saw countries in Latin America and Africa battle financial, social and
political instability, following rapid, commodity-driven expansions.
Economists
describe the apparent pattern in these price booms and busts as the
commodity supercycle, with decades of rising prices followed by a crash.
The Middle of the Storm ::
This potential change to the commodity landscape should motivate countries to put their fiscal houses in order, Giugale said.
"They
should sort out government accounts, not run large deficits and have a
large cushion available to provide more social protection and
assistance," he said. "They should also allow their central banks to
fight the inflationary pressure that a crisis like a crash in prices
might generate. These two macroeconomic pillars, to me, are sacrosanct."
The prioritization of investment was also key, Columbia University's Erten said.
"It's
important for the countries to save part of the commodity boom and
invest it in new industries, such as the services sector or
manufacturing."
Chile was one of the few countries succeeding in saving the supercycle's windfalls, according to Erten; but most were not.
"Even
in South Africa - the continent's most developed country - the majority
of industrial policies are pushing for more metal production," she
said.
"It's
even worse in less-developed African countries. There are very few
attempts to diversify, which is really bad because relying on high
commodity prices for long-term growth is subjecting economies to very
volatile swings."
But
Giugale stressed that even though commodity prices were slipping,
demand remained high, meaning that developing countries' fiscal revenues
should hold up for a while longer.
Being
prepared is crucial, he added. "Developing countries don't want to have
to deal with issues like this right in the middle of a storm. It's like
worrying about your house catching fire when it's already burning."gest steel consumer.
For
the past two years, as regular readers you know, We have been bearish
on hard commodities. Prices may have dropped substantially from their
peaks during this time, but We don’t think the bear market is over.
Wethink we still have a very long way to go.
There are five reasons why We expect prices to drop a lot more!!!!
First,
during the last decade commodity producers were caught by surprise by
the surge in demand. Their belated response was to ramp up production
dramatically, but since there is a long lead-time between intention and
supply, for the next several years we will continue to experience rapid
growth in supply. As an aside, in our many talks to different groups of
investors and boards of directors it has been our impression that
commodity producers have been the slowest at understanding the full
implications of a Chinese rebalancing.
Second,
almost all the increase in demand in the past twenty years, which in
practice occurred mostly in the past decade, can be explained as the
consequence of the incredibly unbalanced growth process in China. But as
even the most exuberant of China bulls now recognize, China’s economic
growth is slowing and We expect it to decline a lot more in the next few
years.
Third,
and more importantly, as China’s economy rebalances towards a much more
sustainable form of growth, this will automatically make Chinese growth
much less commodity intensive. . Even if China is miraculously able to
regain growth rates of 10-11% annually, a rebalancing economy will
demand much less in the way of hard commodities.
Fourth,
surging Chinese commodity purchases in the past few years supplied not
just growing domestic needs but also rapidly growing inventory. The
result is that inventory levels in China are much too high to support
what growth in demand there will be over the next few years, and We
expect Chinese in some cases to be net sellers, not net buyers, of a
number of commodities.
And
fifth reason in United State QE 3 to end soon . As per market
expectation QE3 in America to end before year 2015 .This will effect
commodity demand.
This
combination of factors – rising supply, dropping demand, and lots of
inventory to work off – all but guarantee that the prices of commodities
will collapse. We expect that certain commodities, like copper, iron
ore coal and Crude will drop by 30% - 50% or more in the next one to
three years.
Friends!!!!
From Last Many Days We Were Shouting About Dabba Stocks and Advising You to Exit at Any Cost.!!!
We & You Know Some Stock Crash Heavily & Some Stock Ready For Crash Or Out of Business In Nex 1 to 3 Year!!!!!
Friends!!!!
From Year 2003 to 2008 We Saw Biggest Bull Run In Stock Market !!!!!!
In This Bull Run Many Stock Rise 10 time to 100 time and Some stock Rise 500 time to 1000 time !!!!!
In Last Bull Run Leadership In The Hands Of Cyclical Industry Like Commodity Infra Power Real Estate!!!!
Every Trend Has to An End So As Per Our Estimate Bull Market In Cyclical Already End Or Ready For End!!!!
It Can Happen In Next 1 to3 Year!!!!!!
1.So Be Ready For More Down Fall In Commodity Stocks !!!
2.All Commodity Stocks May Not Go There 2008 High In Hurry Or May Be In Next 5-10 Years.
3. Forget All 2008 Bull Market Leaders !!!
4.
Friends Infra As A Invesment We Not Expect Any Profit From This Sector.
Sooner Or Later All Infra Projects Can Be Takeover By Govt.
Friends!!!!
In Last Many Days We Got Many E-Mails About New Bull Market !!!!
All E-mails Says That If All 2008 Leaders Not Go Up Where From New Bull Market Come !!!!
Dont Panic Bull Market Still Alive & Definatly Come & Come With More Force Full .Even Bull Market Alreday Started!!!!!
Friends!!!!
You All Know Dow Jones & S&P Alreday Hitt There Life Time Closing High!!!!
Just See Last 120 Years U.S Stock Market Trend U.S. Bull Market Start When Commodity Bull Market End!!!!
Stocks and commodities have Historically Moved in Opposite Directions!!!!!
Each Asset Class Typically Has a 16-18 Year Bull Market Followed by an Equally Long Bear Market!!!!!
In
India We See In Last Bull Market 2003-08 Commodity Stocks In Center
Stage Like...SAIL..SESA GOA...TATA STEEL..HINDALCO.......ETC
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Friends!!!!
Now Million Dollar Qestion Where From New Bull Market Come!!!!!!!
Last Many Days We Research All Above Factor & Find Result About Next Bull Market!!!!
Friends India is the biggest Exporter of Services & IT & Gems & Jewellary!!!
In Last 2-3 Year India's Biggest Problem Spike In Commodity Price !!!!!!
India Biggest Importer of Commodity Gold Crude Oil Edible Oil!!!!!!
As Commodity Price Rise India's Inflation Also Spike RBI Rise Interset Rate 12 Time In Last 2-3 Years!!!!!
Now In Last One Year Commodity Price Almost Stable Or Trend Down!!!!
Inflation Also Trend Down & RBI 's Stance Now More toGrowth From Inflation!!!!!!
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We Know You All Eager TO Now Where From Big Bull Market Come!!!!!!
Friends!!!
So We Ready For Big Bull Market In IT -Media -Consumption- FMCG- Pharma --Export!!!!!
Sooner
Or Later We See Infosys Heading to Rs.10000/- In Next 3-5 Years TCS
Will Hitt Rs.5000/- ZEE Ent Again Cross Rs.1000/- HUL To Cross Rs.1500/-
JUBLIFOOD Can Cross Rs.5000/-
So Bull Already Enter In IT--MEDIA--FMCG--CONSUMPTION---PHARMA--EXPORT
Alert:------------
When A Bull Market Start . Stock Can Rise 10 Time to 1000 Time As It Happen Past & We Expect Again Happen In Future
1. All Above View is Our Personal View Please Do Your Home Work Before Any Investment!!!
2.The
Views Expressed In The Above Newsletter Are Based On Knowledge And
Capability Of Our Team And Do Not Reflect Any Fundamental Validity.
3.The Recommendations Are Solely Informational And Is Not An Offer To Buy Or Sell!!!!!!
BUT HOW CAN IT BE WON????
FOR THIS JUST JOIN
(Train For Every Investor)
IF YOU TRY!!!!!!!!
.............YOU MAY WIN OR YOU MAY LOSE.........
...............IF YOU NOT TRY YOU NEVER WIN ..............
The
investment ideas of Warren Buffett is most basic and simple to
implement. The beauty of his investment ideas is that they are so easy
and logical that at timespeople overlook the
same ideas even though it must have crossed their mind. These investment
ideas of Warren Buffett has not only help the maestro to make billions
but also stands as a guiding principles for every other investor of this
world.
Warren Buffett’s investment ideas asks us to buy stocksof
only those companies whose “fundamentals” are very strong and its stock
is available at “undervalued price”. When we say strong fundamentals we
mean a healthy financial report, unique product line which is run by
exceptional managers.
Think Big TO EARN BIGGG
What To Do Today..........
Our Opininon for Today's Market.......
1.Market Looks Volatile.....
2.EVERY DIP IS BUYING OPPORTUNITY....
1.Some Insider Say NIfy go up to 6200
What To Do Today........
Nifty....Today Face Resistence at......5930...5985..6028
Nifty.....Today Support at ...5850...5815...5775
Nifty Range...4200--------6600
VIKAS P SAMWATSARE RESEARCH......
NEXT TGT FOR
Sell Nifty Around 6200/6300
Our Opininon for Today's Market.......
1.Stock Specific Movement Expected Today ......
2.Midcaps Looks Good....
INTRADAY HOT STOCKS: 10/06/2013
buy ril sl 780 TGT800/810/820
buy and hold ktk tgt 180 soon
sell nifty tgt 5830 buy ab closing 5950
sell bk nifty sl 12600
sell bharat forg around 234/235 tgt 225 sl 239
ADAG LOOK GOOD RCOM BUY ON DIP
UP SIDE WE HAVE EXIT CHANCE NO FRESH BUYING
L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS
(BSE TICKER-533519@ Rs.83/-)
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RBI TO ANNOUNCE NEW BANK LICENCE SOON
L&T HOLDINGS EXPCTED TO GET FIRST BANKING LICENCE !!!!
Rs.120/- Rs.150/-
Alert:- Our Subscriber's Long in Stock!!!
Forget Short Term Movment
SAMWATSARE SAMWATSARE RESEARCH
Picks Mid-Caps Before
They Become Large Cap
The Contact Chair For Queries...
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